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BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS​

Daily Bitcoin Free Reports and price prediction. Just enough for you to get a taste of what we do.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 31, 2016

10/31/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

Despite remaining uncertainty regarding SegWit and the ViaBTC mining pool's opposition to it, as well as the insanity of the Zcash launch last Friday, the bitcoin markets were able to take another leg to the upside on Saturday hitting a weekend high of 717.99 $.  While price did extend a bit higher than we anticipated early last week, it came as no surprise that the medium term OTE short zone in the 700 - 720 $ area put at least a temporary halt to the persistent rally conditions we have seen over the past several days.  [members-only text]

Below we take a look a the 12-hour chart for the details of the short to medium term outlook.  We can see that... [members-only text].  Also note that price remains well within the OTE short zone on what are still very overbought momentum indicators and a porous volume profile, all signs that perhaps this selloff is not over quite yet.  Specifically, Willy and PPO remain heavily overbought, RSI has come down slightly but looks ripe for a bearish divergence, and MACD is about to cross back below the zeroline.  [members-only text]

Moving on, the EMA's are now being tested as support but are still bullish, the 200-period SMA has finally taken a slight tick to the upside confirming the general uptrend, and the A/D line remains very bullish.  Speaking of trendlines, notice that price is currently still above the both the upper and lower uptrend lines, no doubt a good sign for the bulls, however we must keep an eye on the 665 - 670 $ area for a breakdown.  [members-only text]

We have adjusted our ProTrades to reflect these new realities in the market in order to give us a better shot at adding a near term long position to our already established MT play.  [members-only text].  Not that we think we are heading back down that low, but [members-only text].  We want to be ready for that, but we also need to be ready to catch it higher in case the buyers are simply too strong at this point in the cycle.  
Posted ProTrade Ideas:

1.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Very Short Term **[UPDATED on 10/31/2016]**:  (a) We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text]. 

(b) **[UPDATED on 10/31/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].  

2.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Short Term **[UPDATED on 10/31/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].

3.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Medium Term **[ACTIVE; UPDATED on 10/29/2016]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].  We will add to the position on a pullback to the a [members-only text] area.

4.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Long Term **[ACTIVE]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].
**Premium members get to see live trades complete forecasts, and full charts everyday.
To get your access to our edge, subscribe today.**
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for Friday October 28, 2016

10/28/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

Still no run at 700 $ yet as we move into the beginning of the weekend, however bitcoin's price is slowly creeping higher, now comfortably above 680 $.  There are some interesting things going on today in the crypto-space, most notably the launch of the much anticipated Zcash blockchain, which could be taking some of the attention away from bitcoin's recent persistent rally, so we will be watching closely to see how things play out there over the next few days.  We think once the hype dies down a bit, eyes will move back to bitcoin.

Given a rather perplexing situation both technically and fundamentally going into the lower liquidity weekend trade, we want to take a look at two charts for the short and medium term outlooks.  First lets visit the daily chart once again as it remains highly relevant in terms of historical support and resistance, as well as timing.  Notice that price is now butting right up against the OTE short zone, which is at the edge of the volume profile value area, and is getting close to the key 700 $ triangle top.  Also note that all momentum indicators remains significantly overbought with Willy, RSI, and the Stochastic as high as we have seen them in months, and PPO still flashing sell signals.  On the other hand, [members-only text].

Moving on, there remains some strong signals that keep us of the mind that the market is in the midst of a substantial move to the upside through year end, although we still think a pullback is necessary prior to a sustainable break above the heavy 700 - 720 $ resistance area.  As far as the symmetrical triangle goes, there is still quite a bit of time left before the market get squeezed by the apex.  That said, the main features that are [members-only text].

Finally is the 6-hour chart which we show in order to illustrate just how consistent this rally has been [members-only].  The market has not seen a bearish bar or pivot in the past 8 days, we now have new [members-only text].  Additionally, we have multiple intact uptrend lines and demand areas to provide support if things start to go south. Conversely, the momentum oscillators are even more extended to the upside on this chart and volume profile remains porous. Mixed signals indeed.

[members-only text]

Our hope is that over the course of the next few weeks we finally get a chance to reload on the long side in a more favorable risk/reward area, like one of our ProTrade buy zones below, so that we can increase our position size for the eventual breakout, although we realize that may not materialize. For this reason we will stay [members-only text].
Posted ProTrade Ideas:

1.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Very Short Term **[Updated on 10/28/2016]**:  (a) We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text]. 

(b) **[ISSUED on 10/28/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].  

2.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Short Term **[Updated on 10/27/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].

3.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Medium Term **[Active; Updated on 10/28/2016]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].  We will add to the position on a pullback to the a [members-only text] area.

4.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Long Term **[Active]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].
**Premium members get to see live trades complete forecasts, and full charts everyday.
To get your access to our edge, subscribe today.**
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 24, 2016

10/24/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

Twas a good weekend for the bitcoin price as Yuan devaluations late last week finally caught up to the market.  It started with a slow break of the near term 630 $ resistance level and then quickly morphed into a full blown buying panic as price reached a high well above 650 $.  

Despite a quick respite above that key resistance level, the market is currently retracing some of the rally and is back below there for now.  We said on Friday that we expected the action over the weekend to dictate the rest of October which implies that there is more upside possible in the next 7 days, however [members-only text].

Moving on to the details of the technicals, we can see on the 6-hour chart below that SCMR candles remain [members-only text], which by the way kissed the 18 EMA overnight.  Also notice that there is new SCMR dynamic resistance at multiple levels between [members-only text].   Additionally, the A/D line still looks good, both the 200 SMA and uptrend line continue to confirm the bull market, and the near term EMA's are already providing support on pullbacks.

Conversely, all of the momentum oscillators leave something to be desired.  Willy is still very close to overbought, the Stochastic is already there, RSI is bearishly divergent, and PPO is flashing minor sell signals.  Not only that, but volume profile still looks atrocious given a huge notch around 620 $, and exchange volumes are showing another bearish divergence.  We admit that the momentum indicators have been less than stellar recently in terms of their predictive ability so we are giving them less credence today, however they remain a part of the calculation.

​[members-only text]
Posted ProTrade Ideas:

1.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Very Short Term **[Updated on 10/24/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text]. 

2.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Short Term **[Updated on 10/24/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].

3.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Medium Term **[Active; Updated on 10/21/2016]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].  We will add to the position on a pullback to the a [members-only text] area.

4.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Long Term **[Active]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].
**Premium members get to see live trades complete forecasts, and full charts everyday.
To get your access to our edge, subscribe today.**
Subscribe for Complete Forecast

​Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 21, 2016

10/21/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

Bitcoin is back to its stable ways now as price sits just below 630 $, a level which the market apparently really likes.  For the time being it looks like the move down a few days ago was just a range extension to the downside which now has us trading between the 625 and 640 $ levels, however price has been riding some shorter term SMA's to the upside over the past few days so if these start to give way the market could take another leg lower as mentioned in yesterday's update.  [members-only text]

Today we take a look at both the daily and the 12-hour charts as each one offers a different yet valuable insight into the current state of the market.  First we want to inspect the daily chart in order to put what is going on shorter term into context.  [members-only text]  We also have strong dynamic support still sitting around the 600 $ level, although market structure leaves much to be desired right now, so we are still thinking a move down there is possible but not necessarily likely.  [members-only text]

The most intriguing features on the 12-hour chart are the SCMR candles that have been painted over the past few days as price has ridden along the upper trendline.  [members-only text]  It is hard to ignore such positive signals, especially when combined with momentum oscillators which are within a few days (at most) of being fully recharged.  Considering these developments in the context of the daily chart we think there could be a move back up to the top of the current near term trading range around [members-only text], although we still think a breakout attempt to substantially higher levels would be premature at this time.
Posted ProTrade Ideas:

1.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Very Short Term **[Updated on 10/21/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text]. 

2.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Short Term **[Updated on 10/20/2016]**:  We will consider a [members-only text] position in the [members-only text] area with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].

3.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Medium Term **[Active; Updated on 10/18/2016]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].  We will add to the position on a pullback to the a [members-only text] area.

4.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Long Term **[Active]**:  We will stay [members-only text] off of the [members-only text] level with a stop around [members-only text] and a target of [members-only text].
**Premium members get to see live trades complete forecasts, and full charts everyday.
To get your access to our edge, subscribe today.**
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 19, 2016

10/19/2016

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​
**SPECIAL 20% DISCOUNT AVAILABLE FOR THE NEXY 7 DAYS, USE CODE 'BBA20' AT CHECKOUT. CONTACT US IF INTERESTED IN PAYING WITH BITCOIN.**
​
Market Commentary (BTC):  

Indeed we could see the process of resetting the indicators commence yesterday on the 6-hour chart, however that still leaves the 12-hour and daily charts left that need to sync up with the now favorable shorter term charts. This could materialize in one of two ways in our opinion: 1.)  The market stays stagnant while all timeframes align on oversold conditions, or 2.) we take a jaunt to the downside to test the [members-only text] to truly reset momentum and washout weak hands.

Today we are taking a look at the 12-hour chart below, which we mentioned already in terms of needing more of an indicator correction than what has occurred so far.  [members-only text]  Also notice that what was fairly bullish near term market structure yesterday has morphed into bearish market structure today on this timeframe, not to mention the fact that volume profile remains porous between 600 and 625 $ while total exchange volumes are relatively swift and bearish. Finally, the near term EMA's are about to cross over to the downside while the 200-period SMA continues to flatline, both of which tell us that [members-only text]

Moving on to the more bullish indications, we can see that there is still a working near term uptrend line now sitting around 625 $, so as long as this level holds the bulls should remain in control.  Additionally, RSI is already almost back to the 50-line, Willy is finally coming down out of officially overbought territory, PPO has gone from flashing major sell signals to minor ones, and MACD remains pinned near the zeroline.  Lastly, if the do bears to begin to get their claws in the market to take it lower there is a significant confluence area in the [members-only text] range consisting of [members-only text].


Posted ProTrade Ideas (all trade ideas include Entry, Exit, and Stoploss targets):

1.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Very Short Term **[New ProTrade Updated on 10/19/2016]**:  Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

2.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Short Term **[Updated on 10/19/2016]**:  Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

3.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Medium Term **[Active; Updated on 10/19/2016]**: Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

4.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Long Term **[Active]**: Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.


​For the complete forecast, full charts, ProTrade Ideas, Slack access, and altcoin coverage please SUBSCRIBE today!
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 14, 2016

10/14/2016

0 Comments

 

​**SPECIAL 20% DISCOUNT AVAILABLE FOR THE NEXY 7 DAYS, USE CODE 'BBA20' AT CHECKOUT. CONTACT US IF INTERESTED IN PAYING WITH BITCOIN.**
​
Market Commentary (BTC):  

Despite the fact that the bitcoin price held up surprisingly well during OKC futures settlement overnight last night, the price action this morning has been uninspiring, if not downright disappointing.  

So far this morning the market spiked up slightly to the 637.50 $ level, although it was quickly slammed back down below 635 $ in short order.  If this happens again over the weekend then this should give the bears the impetus they have been missing to take price back down below 600 $, or at least down to test that region.  [members-only text] 
​
[members-only text]  We can see on the daily chart below that price remains firmly in the near term OTE short zone sweet spot on very overbought indicators.  Also note that the 9/18 EMA cross is now beginning to stack to the upside, the 200-day SMA remains bullish and supportive, and the A/D line is still moving higher signaling a continuation of the accumulation at these levels.

Conversely, the momentum oscillators are about as stretched as we have seen them in months. The Willy MA is now officially overbought while the signal line starts to roll over, RSI is close to overbought but is pausing for the time being, the Stochastic is unequivocally bearish considering it is extremely overbought and rolling over, and MACD is still struggling to get above the zeroline.

​[members-only text]  Finally, there remains a very significant technical confluence in the 560 - 600 $ area consisting of the near term OTE long zone, the old symmetrical triangle uptrend line, volume profile PoC, the 200-day SMA, and historic SCMR dynamic support.  We would love to see a test of this region to set up the next leg of the rally.

[members-only text]
 
Posted ProTrade Ideas:

1.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Very Short Term **[Previous ProTrade closed for profit on 10/11/2016].**  

**[New ProTrade updated on 10/13/2016]**:  Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

2.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Short Term **[Updated on 10/13/2016]**:  Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

3.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Medium Term **[Active]**: Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

4.) Bitcoin ProTrade - Long Term **[Active]**: Subscribe to get access to this real-time trade.

​**Complete forecasts, full charts, ProTrade Ideas, Slack access, and altcoin coverage are for Premium members only!  To get your access to our full suite of services, subscribe today.**
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 12, 2016

10/12/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

Following the release of our price update yesterday, bitcoin continued to push to the upside reaching a high of 640 $ on the dot.  Despite the need for a pullback the market was simply too bullish, however today we are getting at least a small pause that hopefully refreshes.  

As far as fundamentals go, there is still some near term uncertainty with regard to the release of the latest Core update and Roger Ver's new mining pool ViaBTC which is attempting to block SegWit.  Having said that, we think this is a passing threat which leaves the medium to long term fundamentals conducive to a sustained rally higher over the next few months, and even years.  

For the technical perspective, let's take a look at the 6-hour chart below.  The near term EMA's are now stacking to the upside while the 200-period SMA continues it's steady journey higher, both of which tell us that the the market remains in rally mode despite the recent pause.  Also notice that there was a small selloff immediately following a breakout failure at 640 $ which was stopped by what is now the new bullish pivot area shown in light blue.

​Considering price ripped through the OTE short zone like tin foil yesterday, in addition to how well it has held up today, we think...

For the complete forecast, full charts, ProTrade Ideas, Slack access, and altcoin coverage please SUBSCRIBE today!
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 10, 2016

10/10/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

While the Scaling Bitcoin Conference was in full swing in Milan, Italy over the weekend, bitcoin itself was able to stay above the key 610 $ level and is now pressing up into the OTE short zone between 615 and 620 $.  

Despite what appears to be price action indicative of an imminent breakout, there are many other technical indicators that we are watching that are giving conflicting signals.  Let's take a look at them on the 6-hour chart below, which remains our chart of preference for the short term perspective.

We can see that price has been able to hold above the old triangle trendlines, market structure is coming in more bullish than previously expected, and the A/D line continues to press to the upside, all of which indicate that buyers still remain in this 600 - 620 $ range.  Also, the near term EMA's are trying to pick up some steam to the upside while the 200-period SMA continues to trend higher, now sitting around the 600 $ level.

Conversely, price is now in the supply area and OTE short zone, as well as above the volume profile value area.  Additionally, the momentum oscillators are showing warning signs considering Willy and the Stochastic are already officially overbought while RSI gets close, although PPO is now showing neutral conditions once again.  Finally, there is a very significant technical confluence area right around...

For the complete forecast, full charts, ProTrade Ideas, Slack access, and altcoin coverage please SUBSCRIBE today!
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 7, 2016

10/7/2016

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Market Commentary (BTC):  

It's a miracle!  Bitcoin has finally broken and held above the key 610 $ for more than an hour! Compared to what we have gotten used to over the past several weeks in terms of price action and volatility the move we saw overnight was like seeing fireworks for the first time, however we know that in the broader context of the bitcoin market that was nothing.  

The action we are currently seeing is still indicative of consolidation, which we have been in for months, although the signs we were hoping to see to confirm an eventual upside resolution are finally starting to emerge.  At this point we don't think there is a rush to jump in given we still believe a retest move back down is a very real possibility, but we will admit that it is nice to already be long in the ProTrades.

Today we will focus on the 6-hour chart for the  short term, in which we can see that price is already pressing up into some fairly heavy resistance areas in the form of the supply area and OTE short zone.  Also notice that the oscillators are already overbought and SCMR is still painting bullish candles with strong dynamic support, however we are almost out of the volume profile value area and there is a doji trying to paint right now....

For the complete forecast, full charts, ProTrade Ideas, Slack access, and altcoin coverage please SUBSCRIBE today!
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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Bitcoin Price Report for October 5, 2016

10/5/2016

0 Comments

 
Market Commentary (BTC):  

Bitcoin has finally broken out of the near term 600 - 610 $ trading range, this time to the upside, however once again it is met with little to no fanfare and no follow-through.  After another test and hold of the 605 $ level over the past 24 hours, buyers began to move back into the market to drive price above 610 $.  

Despite this small breakout to the upside, the bulls were still not able to get price to or above our VST ProTrade exit target (which is also where the near term OTE short zone sits).  While we are not very impressed with the price action surrounding what should have been a catalyzing move above 610 $, we realize that the medium term technicals are still syncing up which is why we want to take a look at the daily chart today.

We can see on said daily chart below that despite a break above the 6 and 12-hour symmetrical triangles, the daily chart is still showing the formation as intact and unbroken.  Notice that price is pushing right up against the bottom of the upper triangle trendline which means that a move up into our ProTrade sell zone would indeed take us out of this consolidation pattern.  

Such a move would confirm upside bias and would allow for some more wiggle room with regard to price action and volatility over the coming weeks.  Additionally...

​For the complete forecast, full charts, ProTrade Ideas, Slack access, and altcoin coverage please SUBSCRIBE today!
Picture
Subscribe for Complete Forecast
Disclaimer: Please always do your own due diligence, and consult your financial advisor.  Author owns and trades bitcoins and other financial markets mentioned in this communication.  We never provide actual trading recommendations. Trading remains at your own risk.  Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.  Please read our full terms of service and disclaimer at the BullBear Analytics Legal.
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