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BBA’s Market Insight for July 28, 2015
(7/28/2015) - Written by @AKWAnalytics INVESTORS EYE CHINA MARKETS LIKE A HAWK AS GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION FALLS SHORT OF EXPECTATIONS There is no doubt that the world is watching China with anxiety as government measures to stem the selling have gone largely ignored by the markets.  While they may have been successful in keeping losses smaller than they otherwise would have been, we think any attempts to reinflate the stock market will be abject failures.  Once short selling bans and direct asset purchases cease, the intense selling should return which will inject significant volatility into global markets already shakey from questionable economic growth. That said, ...
Bitcoin Bulls Remain in Control Despite Return to the Chopzone
(7/22/2015) - Originally published in The Bitcoin BullBear Report released on 7/22/2015.  Partial excerpt only. Written by @AKWAnalytics. Technically speaking, bitcoin has shown a surprising amount of strength and stability as it consolidates gains off of the 316 $ local high. Additionally, the fundamental picture has improved from just a few weeks ago. While we are still neutral for now, things are looking pretty good. The double bottom off of the 166.45 $ low (Finex) remains intact, and in fact is looking even more bullish as this current consolidation plays out. Throughout the recent rally from the low 200’s $, price has been following ...
BBA Bitcoin Correlation Report: July 2015
(7/16/2015) - Written by @AKWAnalytics Commentary: Bitcoin has been known as an “uncorrelated” asset due to its seemingly erratic price movements and unique financial properties, and now the tumult in Greece has pretty much completely decoupled the cryptocurrency from other major legacy markets altogether.  With that in mind, it continues to be a mystery what asset class, if any, is a decent proxy for the price of bitcoin over the long term.  You would think that, at the very least, the US dollar would be a decent guide for price, but as we will see below even this relationship is tenuous at best. What ...
BBA’s Market Insight for July 14, 2015
(7/14/2015) - Written by @AKWAnalytics GLOBAL MARKETS SEE RELIEF RALLY ON GREEK BAILOUT HOPES, BUT SUSTAINABILITY IS QUESTIONABLE. As investors await an outcome and hope for the best in Greece, global equity markets are bouncing within a range.  We can’t help but think that this will end up being a sellable rally given the uncertainty surrounding Europe, China, Puerto Rico, and US interest rates.  A flare up of any one of these macro risks could put a halt to the risk-on trade and send capital fleeing back to safe havens. Forex For the past few weeks we have been showing the EURUSD pair, which also ...
The Great Altcoin Washing Machine
(7/10/2015) - Written by @AKWAnalytics Commentary: While some newer crypto traders may be scratching their heads as to what the hell just happened in the altcoin markets over the past 24 hours (LTC, PPC, NMC), those of us that have been around for awhile have seen this movie before (particularly on BTC-e).  In fact, this type of action has been going on for as long as there has existed illiquid or easily manipulated financial assets or securities.  Penny stocks and very low rated junk bonds immediately come to mind, but even these are now more difficult to move at will by single parties, ...
Bitcoin Catches a Bid on Eurozone Uncertainty
(7/9/2015) - Originally published in The Bitcoin BullBear Report released on 7/9/2015.  Written by @AKWAnalytics. Contrary to what we have become accustom to over the past year, that being consistently lower prices in a bear market, the past few months have been very encouraging for the remaining bulls out there.  While we want to see price pullback from here, we want to buy the dip for the first time in months. It is no surprise to us that bitcoin is running into a bit of resistance at current leves as price has entered into an intermediate term sell area on the daily chart.  Additionally, ...
Safe Asset and Wealth Protection Portfolio Update – July 7, 2015
(7/7/2015) - Volatility has picked up in all asset classes as uncertainty surrounding Greece and a potential exit from the Eurozone has proliferated.  All the while, the BBA Safe Asset & Wealth (SAW) Portfolio is outperforming global equity markets with a little help from our friend, bitcoin.  The addition of the uncorrelated asset came just in the nick of time as a recent rally has benefited our portfolio greatly. SAW (Safe Asset & Wealth) Portfolio for July 7, 2015 Following what was a great end of quarter performance we are holding those gains in the face of rising volatility, which is a ...
BBA’s Market Insight for July 6, 2015
(7/6/2015) - Written by @AKWAnalytics. GREEK PEOPLE VOTE “NO” IN HISTORIC REFERENDUM INCREASING CHANCES OF GREXIT; GLOBAL MARKETS VOLATILE BUT DIRECTIONLESS. As the Greeks stand in defiance of the Troika, financial markets are having a difficult time digesting the news.  It is still unclear to market participants what the ramifications of the Greek actions will be, but it is fair to say that uncertainty is running high.  Will the Euro strengthen with a weak link gone from the chain, or will a Grexit empower other debtor nations (PIGS) to stand in opposition to Brussels?  At this point anything is possible, but our ...
Safe Asset and Wealth Protection – Update June 30, 2015
(6/30/2015) - Wealth Protection with the SAFE ASSET & WEALTH Portfolio The quarter Q2 is over, and we have now about one and a half months of our new long term asset and wealth protection portfolio in our pocket. SAW (Safe Asset & Wealth) Portfolio from June 30, 2015   What a great end of quarter performance: Our SAW portfolio that started at 10,000 is up by 31.06 $ and up by 0.3%, despite the transaction fees that are substantial with the relatively low portfolio value versus big funds. Without transaction fees, the portfolio would be up by 0.7%. Moreover, our new bitcoin position is UP by +4.55 % ...
BBA’s Daily Market Insight for June 30, 2015
(6/29/2015) - Written by @AKWAnalytics. GLOBAL INVESTORS PRICE IN GREXIT AS ECB/IMF NEGOTIATIONS DETERIORATE; CAPITAL CONTROLS IMPLEMENTED IN GREECE Quite a newsy summer Monday it was as Greece continues to be on the brink, Puerto Rico is straight up broke, and China had to ease further over the weekend in order to try to stem the bleeding in their parabolic equity markets (which are now correcting). Given no Greek resolution and low liquidity you would think volatility would pick up through the week, however with the US heading into a holiday weekend and European negotiations now pushed back to Sunday, we suspect the volatility ...

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